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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Suns33%10092
12Nuggets67%106109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
33.1
7.4
10
37%
3
6
2
0
0
5
0
3
5-6
83%
1-8
0-1
13%
40%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
32.4
35.5
10
36%
14
3
1
1
1
2
4
10
2-2
100%
4-13
7-12
31%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
27.4
16.4
20
61%
6
0
1
0
0
3
2
4
3-3
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
45%
3-6
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
27.3
31.4
6
38%
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
17.5
29.5
7
88%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
28.5
19.9
21
59%
6
1
4
1
2
0
5
1
3-4
75%
6-12
2-5
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.2
22.8
6.4
8
34%
2
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
0-7
1-2
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
18.5
12.9
2
17%
5
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
57%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
16.4
9.5
6
38%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
40%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
12.6
7.7
2
13%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-7
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.6
3.6
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.0
32.2
1
4-7
52%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
30.7
1
3-7
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.9
33.2
22.2
9
46%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
29.8
30.5
20
71%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
4-7
57%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
2-4
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.3
26.4
34.5
17
88%
3
5
2
1
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
6-7
5-9
86%
54%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.0
26.1
21.0
9
41%
9
0
5
0
3
1
4
5
1-2
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.2
24.0
11.7
13
56%
9
0
0
0
1
4
4
5
5-6
83%
4-9
1-3
44%
49%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
24.0
30.3
12
47%
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.9
21.9
23.8
2
50%
5
7
1
1
0
6
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
21.9
6.8
16
69%
7
0
1
0
6
1
2
5
4-6
67%
6-9
1-1
67%
57%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.9
20.5
24.9
11
65%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
2-3
67%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
6.5
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
5.8
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
25.9
1
5-8
58%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.6
5.7
0
1-1
52%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.