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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks33%9078
7Lakers67%9686
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
36.7
33.2
15
44%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
5-10
67%
46%
1-8
13%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
33.5
25.8
18
51%
2
2
3
1
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
47%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
32.5
36.1
15
38%
9
3
2
1
3
3
2
7
1-4
25%
7-16
6-13
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
27.4
31.6
1
17%
10
1
4
1
1
1
4
6
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
24.7
23.6
4
25%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
28.0
10.8
9
56%
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
3-6
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
16.2
5.4
0
0%
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
15.2
12.8
5
42%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
14.5
17.8
5
36%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
11.3
17.0
6
44%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
10.8
0
1-3
44%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
8.0
0
1-2
40%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
34.6
34.4
20
44%
13
1
0
0
4
1
8
5
1-2
50%
8-21
6-12
38%
52%
1-1
100%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
34.3
36.8
10
28%
4
4
0
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
5-15
8-16
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
31.1
36.2
15
72%
15
0
0
1
2
2
4
11
1-1
100%
7-10
6-12
70%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
26.8
23.2
10
71%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
2-5
40%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
18.6
22.1
3
31%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
30.4
20.7
6
60%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
29.4
26.4
5
50%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
21.2
19.1
7
40%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-4
25%
3-7
2-3
43%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
13.7
12.8
10
83%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
3.8
0
0-0
44%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
3.0
0
0-0
43%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
2.8
0
0-0
52%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.