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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pistons14%8598
8Celtics86%10088
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
36.9
32.6
25
60%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
11-11
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
36.6
33.0
10
36%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
44%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
36.0
27.5
22
79%
9
1
0
1
1
4
4
5
0-0
-
11-14
5-11
79%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
31.8
23.2
6
52%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.2
18.9
30.5
6
61%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
40%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
28.3
19.9
22
69%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
43%
4-6
67%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
15.7
17.9
0
0%
11
2
0
1
0
0
3
8
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.1
13.6
4.0
2
27%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
9.5
12.4
3
39%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
34%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.0
8.2
22.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.1
4.5
5.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
11.6
0
1-3
39%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.4
2.3
0
0-1
42%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
39.4
37.3
35
57%
5
6
4
2
0
2
2
3
4-9
44%
14-26
5-10
54%
53%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
37.3
36.0
10
39%
1
5
0
1
2
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-10
5-9
30%
52%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.6
32.5
32.4
10
56%
6
2
2
1
2
2
0
6
8-9
89%
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
31.8
19.4
17
66%
9
3
1
1
0
2
3
6
1-2
50%
8-12
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
21.9
16.5
1
17%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
25.1
15.8
10
44%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-1
0%
5-11
3-6
45%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
15.9
19.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-3
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.8
14.7
8.5
4
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-3
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
12.8
2.6
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
8.6
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
28.6
1
5-10
53%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
5.4
0
0-1
46%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.0
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.