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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats35%9498
25Raptors65%9991
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.3
32.3
16.6
11
63%
3
10
1
0
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.5
32.2
21.2
8
69%
13
0
0
1
7
2
5
8
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.4
31.1
30.1
22
85%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
4-6
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
29.0
33.1
6
38%
6
3
0
1
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
25.6
26.1
16
52%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
6-8
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.8
30.1
32.8
14
43%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
40%
1-4
25%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.4
22.4
18.6
7
72%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
18.4
7.8
10
63%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-8
1-2
63%
50%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.0
13.9
16.3
4
52%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.5
2.5
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
2.4
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.7
8.1
0
1-3
41%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.0
6.7
0
0-1
42%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
42.0
34.4
14
54%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
38.0
24.4
6
33%
15
3
0
1
2
1
7
8
0-0
-
3-9
3-5
33%
60%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
36.9
21.8
14
48%
8
1
2
1
1
1
2
6
0-1
0%
7-13
3-6
54%
49%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
32.1
36.8
24
59%
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
0
8-12
67%
8-14
6-13
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
13.4
13.2
6
77%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
31.0
22.2
9
46%
10
1
2
1
0
0
4
6
1-4
25%
4-8
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.2
23.6
20.2
16
49%
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
1
4-5
80%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
0-4
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
7.5
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
7.4
12.5
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
4.9
28.8
2
35%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-7
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
3.3
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
7.9
0
1-1
49%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.1
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.