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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks26%9385
3Magic74%10294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
39.3
25.4
16
64%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
42%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
33.4
28.6
14
55%
10
2
1
1
2
2
4
6
3-4
75%
4-10
4-8
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.4
30.9
33.4
14
32%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
2-10
4-9
20%
43%
2-10
20%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.4
28.8
19.1
14
47%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-12
2-5
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
7.4
9.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
19.2
24.0
7
54%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.2
18.8
6.3
2
25%
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
17.1
13.1
8
57%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.9
17.1
5.2
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
16.1
5.2
8
58%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
12.0
19.4
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
28.0
1
5-11
46%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
19.9
1
2-5
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
39.3
37.2
26
72%
20
1
1
1
4
6
4
16
10-14
71%
8-12
8-13
67%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
35.6
30.7
23
69%
9
3
1
1
0
1
5
4
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
31.6
29.6
10
54%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
28.0
29.5
14
62%
4
7
2
1
0
3
0
4
1-3
33%
5-6
2-4
83%
46%
1-4
25%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
20.2
27.4
6
27%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-5
0%
49%
2-6
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
29.7
20.4
11
42%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
25.4
16.8
0
0%
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
16.4
18.2
4
67%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
13.8
9.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
3.7
0
0-1
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
2.1
0
0-1
42%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
0.6
0
0-0
46%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.