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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat78%105111
24Cavaliers22%9487
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.9
34
30
16
12
4
2
1
0
2
4
8
0-0
-
8-21
6-11
38%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.1
30
33
28
5
5
1
1
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
8-14
7-13
57%
55%
3-5
60%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
25
23
14
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
4-6
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
25
21
0
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
24
27
22
6
2
0
1
2
3
1
5
7-9
78%
6-9
7-13
67%
52%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.0
26
19
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
23
24
10
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
3-8
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
22
23
1
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
20
21
6
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
2-2
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
4
5
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
0-0
-
42%
2-2
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
4
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
3
0
0-1
50%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.9
31
28
17
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
7-7
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
30
27
9
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-11
3-5
36%
48%
0-3
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.7
30
34
13
4
3
2
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-8
6-12
25%
46%
3-3
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
28
25
4
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
46%
1-4
25%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
15
19
6
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
27
31
15
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-7
43%
3-6
4-9
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 20.9
26
15
12
6
0
0
0
2
1
5
1
4-5
80%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
19
10
4
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
4-4
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
13
8
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
7
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.1
7
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.1
6
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.