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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hornets25%8889
11Knicks75%9785
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
44.8
38.9
25
61%
8
1
3
2
2
2
2
6
1-1
100%
6-13
4-10
46%
45%
4-7
57%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
37.3
30.0
12
41%
8
6
0
1
0
2
1
7
6-6
100%
3-12
6-14
25%
46%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
35.1
31.9
17
57%
1
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
6-11
2-6
55%
44%
1-3
33%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
32.5
29.5
15
64%
1
11
2
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
2-2
100%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
29.3
28.7
13
60%
11
2
2
1
0
0
3
8
1-4
25%
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
21.4
9.5
4
29%
4
1
1
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
17.3
18.8
1
27%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
10.0
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
8.1
6.4
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
4.2
9.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
4
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
14.1
0
2-4
53%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
13.2
0
1-4
40%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
8.0
0
1-3
46%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
39.5
32.1
26
58%
2
5
4
2
0
9
0
2
8-10
80%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
39.0
24.1
26
58%
12
0
1
1
0
2
5
7
2-3
67%
12-20
5-10
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.4
34.5
30.1
10
66%
11
0
0
1
2
1
4
7
4-8
50%
3-4
4-6
75%
64%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
33.6
32.6
4
20%
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
56%
0-3
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
25.7
23.7
2
20%
6
1
0
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-4
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.6
26.1
25.4
9
46%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
21.5
23.5
3
80%
5
0
3
1
1
1
4
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
20.0
22.4
5
28%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
1-7
14%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.8
11.0
0
0-1
44%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
8.8
0
2-3
48%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
5.8
0
1-1
45%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.4
3.3
0
0-1
51%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.4
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.0
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.