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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs45%97103
5Clippers55%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.8
44.8
34.5
30
56%
3
10
0
1
0
2
1
2
8-11
73%
11-20
7-15
55%
49%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.8
41.3
25.1
11
35%
17
3
0
1
2
0
6
11
1-4
25%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
35.7
24.6
11
79%
4
0
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.7
24.9
26.5
5
42%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.8
16.8
17.7
10
71%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.9
35.7
21.3
13
54%
6
2
2
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
27.4
22.3
17
54%
3
0
3
0
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
0-6
2-5
0%
46%
5-8
63%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
18.3
21.0
2
33%
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.6
17.6
18.8
4
33%
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.1
2.5
23.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
4-7
0%
56%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
0.2
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.9
3.2
0
0-0
44%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.9
43.1
35.0
22
53%
20
2
0
1
0
1
7
13
4-6
67%
9-18
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.8
40.7
33.8
21
47%
2
6
2
2
0
2
0
2
8-8
100%
5-16
5-11
31%
50%
1-3
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
40.6
30.2
13
51%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
1-6
17%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.4
38.4
28.9
21
60%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
4-10
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
26.7
22.0
8
57%
8
0
0
0
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-4
57%
64%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.1
29.5
23.6
3
31%
7
2
2
1
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.2
25.5
31.1
8
44%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
8.2
7.4
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.8
6.2
12.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.2
6.2
3.7
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.2
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 21.9
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.