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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks53%9897
11Knicks47%97104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
38.0
32.5
34
71%
5
3
2
1
0
4
1
4
8-9
89%
7-15
6-12
47%
50%
4-5
80%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
35.5
31.9
14
59%
7
2
2
1
0
1
5
2
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.9
27.9
25.5
8
44%
5
4
3
1
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
2-8
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.2
27.3
18.7
9
61%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
1-3
33%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
25.8
28.2
9
48%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.4
30.4
31.6
13
50%
7
6
2
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
3-10
30%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
20.2
19.3
5
43%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
19.6
23.8
2
17%
6
3
0
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
15.3
17.1
3
75%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
9.5
0
1-2
54%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
7.0
0
1-2
48%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
4.1
0
0-0
36%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
3.6
0
0-1
41%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
45.6
34.1
28
62%
4
14
5
2
1
7
1
3
3-6
50%
8-14
5-11
57%
45%
3-6
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.4
34.6
31.3
14
80%
10
0
0
1
3
1
3
7
4-4
100%
5-7
4-6
71%
62%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
33.1
29.6
11
47%
7
1
0
1
0
2
4
3
3-4
75%
4-10
6-13
40%
49%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
26.8
32.6
13
54%
4
2
4
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
1-3
33%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.7
18.7
25.4
5
28%
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
1-5
20%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.4
29.7
14.3
15
47%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
3-9
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
28.0
22.7
4
30%
7
2
1
1
1
2
3
4
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
23.4
21.1
14
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
4-5
80%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
24.2
1
1-3
52%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.9
23.6
1
2-6
42%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.8
7.5
0
0-1
42%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.4
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.