Final Win Prob. pScore
933%93
78
167%99
90
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
88.68882.0
MIA logo Heat
101.18996.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
90
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLWafer 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)78
90
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
90
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Wafer 2' Driving Layup76
90
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)76
90
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Pittman 10' Hook Shot76
90
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)76
90
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
90
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Pittman 7' Turnaround Hook Shot73
90
Q4 - 1:23ORLWafer 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)73
90
Q4 - 1:39MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
90
Q4 - 1:53ORLRichardson 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)71
88
Q4 - 2:13ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
88
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Pittman 10' Turnaround Jump Shot69
88
Q4 - 2:32ORLDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)69
88
Q4 - 2:32ORLSUB: Harper FOR Davis68
88
Q4 - 2:32MIASUB: Howard FOR Haslem68
88
Q4 - 2:32MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade68
88
Q4 - 2:32MIASUB: Pittman FOR Bosh68
88
Q4 - 2:32MIASUB: Cole FOR James68
88
Q4 - 2:32ORLMagic Rebound68
88
Q4 - 2:32ORLMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 268
88
Q4 - 2:32MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)68
88
Q4 - 2:35ORLClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
88
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
88
Q4 - 2:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
88
Q4 - 2:44ORLMISS Wafer 21' Jump Shot68
88
Q4 - 3:07ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson68
88
Q4 - 3:07ORLSUB: Clark FOR Redick68
88
Q4 - 3:07ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Anderson68
88
Q4 - 3:07ORLSUB: Wafer FOR Turkoglu68
88
Q4 - 3:07ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)68
88
Q4 - 3:07MIAJames Running Dunk (25 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)68
88
Q4 - 3:10ORLHaslem STEAL (2 STL)68
86
Q4 - 3:20MIAJames 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)68
86
Q4 - 3:39ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
84
Q4 - 3:39ORLSUB: Davis FOR Howard67
84
Q4 - 3:39ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
84
Q4 - 3:39MIABosh P.FOUL (P4.PN)66
84
Q4 - 3:58MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (27 PTS)66
84
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
82
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot66
82
Q4 - 4:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)66
82
Q4 - 4:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 266
82
Q4 - 4:22ORLMagic Rebound66
82
Q4 - 4:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 266
82
Q4 - 4:22MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.PN)66
82
Q4 - 4:37MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)66
82
Q4 - 4:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
80
Q4 - 4:48ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
80
Q4 - 5:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)66
80
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
80
Q4 - 5:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
80
Q4 - 5:27ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 266
80
Q4 - 5:27MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole66
80
Q4 - 5:27ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
80
Q4 - 5:27MIABosh P.FOUL (P3.PN)65
80
Q4 - 5:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)65
80
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot65
80
Q4 - 5:59MIASUB: James FOR Miller65
80
Q4 - 5:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)65
80
Q4 - 6:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
80
Q4 - 6:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 265
80
Q4 - 6:03ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
80
Q4 - 6:03MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)64
80
Q4 - 6:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)64
80
Q4 - 6:35ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Davis64
80
Q4 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound64
80
Q4 - 6:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
80
Q4 - 6:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
80
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot64
80
Q4 - 7:03ORLDavis 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
80
Q4 - 7:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)62
80
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot62
80
Q4 - 7:37ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
80
Q4 - 7:37ORLSUB: Redick FOR Wafer61
80
Q4 - 7:37ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
80
Q4 - 7:37MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T4)60
80
Q4 - 7:37ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
80
Q4 - 7:38ORLMISS Wafer 6' Running Jump Shot60
80
Q4 - 8:02MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)60
80
Q4 - 8:13ORLDavis L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)60
78
Q4 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound60
78
Q4 - 8:14ORLMISS Wafer 2' Driving Layup60
78
Q4 - 8:19MIASUB: Wade FOR Battier60
78
Q4 - 8:19MIASUB: Bosh FOR James60
78
Q4 - 8:19ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon60
78
Q4 - 8:19ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Richardson60
78
Q4 - 8:1960
78
Q4 - 8:31ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
78
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Battier 9' Floating Jump Shot60
78
Q4 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
78
Q4 - 8:54ORLMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot60
78
Q4 - 9:16MIACole 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 8 AST)60
78
Q4 - 9:33ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
76
Q4 - 9:33ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
76
Q4 - 9:33MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T3)58
76
Q4 - 9:46MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)58
76
Q4 - 9:57MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)58
76
Q4 - 10:11ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
74
Q4 - 10:11ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
74
Q4 - 10:11MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.T1)56
74
Q4 - 10:25ORLMagic Rebound56
74
Q4 - 10:25ORLMISS Wafer Free Throw Technical56
74
Q4 - 10:25MIAJames T.FOUL (P1.T0)56
74
Q4 - 10:25MIABattier Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)56
74
Q4 - 10:45ORLWafer 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)56
74
Q4 - 11:09MIAMiller 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)54
74
Q4 - 11:22ORLDuhon Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)54
72
Q4 - 11:44MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)54
72
Q4 - 12:0054
70
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL54
70
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)54
70
Q3 - 0:23.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
68
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)54
68
Q3 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers54
68
Q3 - 0:43.0MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
68
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
65
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
65
Q3 - 1:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)54
65
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
65
Q3 - 1:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)54
65
Q3 - 1:17ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
65
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
65
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
64
Q3 - 1:30ORLDuhon S.FOUL (P1.T2)54
63
Q3 - 1:44ORLDavis 2' Layup (4 PTS)54
63
Q3 - 1:47MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)52
63
Q3 - 1:52ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS)52
63
Q3 - 2:11MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)50
63
Q3 - 2:22MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
63
Q3 - 2:23ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
63
Q3 - 2:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)50
63
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS James 10' Floating Jump Shot50
63
Q3 - 2:59ORLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)50
63
Q3 - 2:59MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Redick: Tip to James50
63
Q3 - 2:59ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson50
63
Q3 - 3:18MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)50
63
Q3 - 3:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
61
Q3 - 3:26ORLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)50
61
Q3 - 3:31ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
61
Q3 - 3:32ORLMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot50
61
Q3 - 3:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
61
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot50
61
Q3 - 4:09MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade50
61
Q3 - 4:09MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh50
61
Q3 - 4:09ORLSUB: Davis FOR Anderson50
61
Q3 - 4:09ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Turkoglu50
61
Q3 - 4:09MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
61
Q3 - 4:16ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)50
61
Q3 - 4:40MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
61
Q3 - 4:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
59
Q3 - 4:45ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot47
59
Q3 - 4:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
59
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup47
59
Q3 - 5:11MIAJames 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)47
59
Q3 - 5:39ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)47
57
Q3 - 5:49ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
57
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
57
Q3 - 5:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
57
Q3 - 5:57ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
57
Q3 - 6:18MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)44
57
Q3 - 6:42ORLAnderson 2' Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)44
54
Q3 - 6:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
54
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot42
54
Q3 - 7:09ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)42
54
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS)39
54
Q3 - 7:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
52
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup39
52
Q3 - 7:44ORLJames STEAL (2 STL)39
52
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade 1' Layup (23 PTS) (James 5 AST)39
52
Q3 - 8:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
50
Q3 - 8:25ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 239
50
Q3 - 8:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
50
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)38
50
Q3 - 8:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
50
Q3 - 8:26ORLWade BLOCK (3 BLK)38
50
Q3 - 8:43ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)38
50
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)38
50
Q3 - 8:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
48
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup38
48
Q3 - 8:53ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)38
48
Q3 - 9:01ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
48
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot38
48
Q3 - 9:24ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)38
48
Q3 - 9:48MIAJames 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)35
48
Q3 - 10:14ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
46
Q3 - 10:35MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)33
46
Q3 - 10:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)33
44
Q3 - 10:56ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 133
44
Q3 - 10:56MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T1)33
44
Q3 - 10:56ORLHoward 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)33
44
Q3 - 11:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
44
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 231
44
Q3 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)31
44
Q3 - 11:16ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
43
Q3 - 11:20ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)31
43
Q3 - 11:32MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)31
43
Q3 - 11:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)31
43
Q3 - 11:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup31
43
Q3 - 12:0031
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA31
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
43
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot31
43
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
43
Q2 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot31
43
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)31
43
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)31
41
Q2 - 0:49.0MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh31
41
Q2 - 0:49.0MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
41
Q2 - 0:49.0MIABosh OFF.Foul (P2)31
41
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)31
41
Q2 - 1:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
41
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper29
41
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
41
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
41
Q2 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
41
Q2 - 1:44ORLAnderson S.FOUL (P2.PN)29
40
Q2 - 1:44MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 1:51MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anthony29
38
Q2 - 1:51ORLSUB: Davis FOR Howard29
38
Q2 - 1:51ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)29
38
Q2 - 1:51MIAHEAT Rebound29
38
Q2 - 1:52ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
38
Q2 - 1:56ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
38
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot29
38
Q2 - 2:07MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
38
Q2 - 2:24MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
38
Q2 - 2:24MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
37
Q2 - 2:24ORLAnderson S.FOUL (P1.T3)29
36
Q2 - 2:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
36
Q2 - 2:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 129
36
Q2 - 2:39MIASUB: Bosh FOR Miller29
36
Q2 - 2:39ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Turkoglu29
36
Q2 - 2:39ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
36
Q2 - 2:39MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
36
Q2 - 2:39ORLHoward 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)29
36
Q2 - 2:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
36
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
36
Q2 - 3:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
36
Q2 - 3:04ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
36
Q2 - 3:08ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
36
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot27
36
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
36
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot27
36
Q2 - 3:30ORLJames STEAL (1 STL)27
36
Q2 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)27
36
Q2 - 3:43MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole27
35
Q2 - 3:43ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
35
Q2 - 3:43MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)27
35
Q2 - 3:51ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)27
33
Q2 - 3:51ORLMagic Rebound27
33
Q2 - 3:53ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)27
33
Q2 - 3:53ORLMagic Rebound27
33
Q2 - 3:54ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)27
33
Q2 - 4:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
33
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 227
33
Q2 - 4:16MIAHEAT Rebound27
33
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 227
33
Q2 - 4:16ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T1)27
33
Q2 - 4:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
33
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Miller 2' Driving Layup27
33
Q2 - 4:26MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
33
Q2 - 4:27ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
33
Q2 - 4:45ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending27
33
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)27
33
Q2 - 5:03ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)27
31
Q2 - 5:16MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)27
31
Q2 - 5:30MIASUB: Anthony FOR Haslem27
29
Q2 - 5:30MIASUB: James FOR Bosh27
29
Q2 - 5:30ORLSUB: Howard FOR Wafer27
29
Q2 - 5:30ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon27
29
Q2 - 5:30ORLSUB: Redick FOR Richardson27
29
Q2 - 5:30ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Davis27
29
Q2 - 5:3027
29
Q2 - 5:30ORLWafer Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)27
29
Q2 - 5:43ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
29
Q2 - 5:45ORLMISS Duhon 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 6:10MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)27
29
Q2 - 6:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
27
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 6:30ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
27
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot27
27
Q2 - 6:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
27
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Davis 20' Fadeaway Jumper27
27
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
27
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)27
27
Q2 - 7:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
27
Q2 - 7:17ORLMISS Wafer 3PT Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 7:24ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
27
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 7:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
27
Q2 - 7:37ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)27
27
Q2 - 7:41ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
27
Q2 - 7:43ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 8:00MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)27
27
Q2 - 8:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
24
Q2 - 8:07ORLMISS Davis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot27
24
Q2 - 8:27ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
24
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot27
24
Q2 - 8:45MIASUB: Wade FOR Battier27
24
Q2 - 8:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)27
24
Q2 - 8:57ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)27
24
Q2 - 9:15ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
24
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot24
24
Q2 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
24
Q2 - 9:28ORLMISS Davis 2' Driving Layup24
24
Q2 - 9:42MIACole 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
24
Q2 - 9:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
22
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Cole 4' Reverse Layup24
22
Q2 - 9:58ORLRichardson 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)24
22
Q2 - 10:16ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Bosh 2' Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 10:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q2 - 10:26ORLMISS Anderson 3' Layup22
22
Q2 - 10:37ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 10:56ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Howard22
22
Q2 - 10:56ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T4)22
22
Q2 - 11:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Cole 12' Floating Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 11:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22
Q2 - 11:13ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 11:36ORLMagic Rebound22
22
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 11:43ORLWafer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)22
22
Q2 - 12:0019
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
22
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
22
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup19
22
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)19
22
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
22
Q1 - 1:03ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)19
22
Q1 - 1:24MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers17
22
Q1 - 1:24ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson17
22
Q1 - 1:24MIABattier L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)17
22
Q1 - 1:24ORLMagic Rebound17
22
Q1 - 1:25ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 1:37ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 2:10ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)17
22
Q1 - 2:27MIABattier Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
22
Q1 - 2:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22
Q1 - 2:43ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 3:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 3:24MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade14
22
Q1 - 3:24MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh14
22
Q1 - 3:24ORLSUB: Davis FOR Anderson14
22
Q1 - 3:24ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Turkoglu14
22
Q1 - 3:24MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
22
Q1 - 3:33ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)14
22
Q1 - 3:49MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
22
Q1 - 4:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
20
Q1 - 4:01ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 4:18MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)11
20
Q1 - 4:35ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)11
18
Q1 - 4:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
18
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
18
Q1 - 4:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
18
Q1 - 4:54ORLMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot8
18
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade 1' Layup (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)8
18
Q1 - 5:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
16
Q1 - 5:30ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 28
16
Q1 - 5:30ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
16
Q1 - 5:30MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
16
Q1 - 5:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
16
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot7
16
Q1 - 5:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
16
Q1 - 5:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 27
16
Q1 - 5:58ORLMagic Rebound7
16
Q1 - 5:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 27
16
Q1 - 5:58MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
16
Q1 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
16
Q1 - 5:59ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
16
Q1 - 6:20MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
16
Q1 - 6:24ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)7
14
Q1 - 6:41MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)7
14
Q1 - 7:05ORLHoward 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 7:29MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
12
Q1 - 7:44ORLAnderson Violation:Kicked Ball5
10
Q1 - 7:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10
Q1 - 7:51ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot5
10
Q1 - 8:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
10
Q1 - 8:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
9
Q1 - 8:11ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T2)5
8
Q1 - 8:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 8:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 8:35ORLMagic Rebound5
8
Q1 - 8:36ORLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)5
8
Q1 - 8:46ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)5
8
Q1 - 8:53MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 9:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 9:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
6
Q1 - 9:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
4
Q1 - 9:24ORLMISS Redick 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup5
4
Q1 - 9:38ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
4
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot5
4
Q1 - 9:47ORLRedick 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)5
4
Q1 - 10:14ORLMagic Rebound3
4
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 10:25ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)3
4
Q1 - 10:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 10:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
3
Q1 - 10:43ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:07ORLMagic Rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:25ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:42MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Howard: Tip to James0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
20
50%
MIA
18
24
75%
Midrange
ORL
6
25
24%
MIA
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
13
25
52%
MIA
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick1785%8.5 / 10
D. Howard1243%6.0 / 14
G. Davis1246%6.0 / 13
Q. Richardson1056%5.0 / 9
R. Anderson950%4.5 / 9
V. Wafer950%4.5 / 9
J. Nelson729%3.5 / 12
H. Turkoglu110%0.5 / 5
C. Duhon113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2759%13.5 / 23
L. James2574%12.5 / 17
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
C. Bosh840%4.0 / 10
M. Chalmers650%3.0 / 6
M. Miller542%2.5 / 6
N. Cole450%2.0 / 4
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
D. Pittman0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
74
+13
-14
87
MIA
79
+10
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
106.6
ORL 88.6
MIA 101.1 +12.5
Pace
88.9
91.3
ORL 82.0
MIA 96.9 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
ORL 17.6
MIA 14.9 −2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.5%
ORL 43.9%
MIA 49.4% +5.5%
TO %
15.7%
15.9%
ORL 15.0%
MIA 10.4% −4.6%
ORB %
26.5%
26.6%
ORL 18.8%
MIA 22.5% +3.7%
FTrt
29.2
30.7
ORL 33.8 +16.3
MIA 17.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
53.8%
ORL 55.6% +3.0%
MIA 52.6%
STL %
7.6%
9.6%
ORL 3.4%
MIA 9.0% +5.6%
BLK %
6.7%
9.0%
ORL 4.4%
MIA 15.6% +11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
53.5%
ORL 44.8%
MIA 50.6% +5.8%
Rim FG%
57.7%
61.1%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 75.0% +25.0%
Mid FG%
34.8%
40.0%
ORL 24.0%
MIA 38.6% +14.6%
3P %
37.5%
35.9%
ORL 37.9% +12.9%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
66.0%
77.5%
ORL 52.0%
MIA 78.6% +26.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.7%
ORL 27.0%
MIA 30.0% +3.0%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
43.6%
ORL 33.8% −21.2%
MIA 55.0%
3P Att. %
34.6%
19.8%
ORL 39.2% +24.2%
MIA 15.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes25.822.1
Points7890
Rebounds4048
Assists1520
Steals38
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)39 (3)
Field Goals27-7438-80
At-the-Rim FG10-2018-24
Midrange FG6-2517-44
2-Point FG16-4535-68
3-Point FG11-293-12
Free Throws13-2511-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
37.1
12
43%
15
3
1
1
3
2
3
12
2-10
20%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 28
34.0
17
85%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
30.9
9
50%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'0" 190 · 30
30.3
7
29%
4
4
0
0
3
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 220 · 33
24.5
1
10%
0
3
0
0
3
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 32
23.5
10
56%
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
9
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26
22.4
12
46%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
17.7
1
13%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 209 · 27
14.0
9
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 31
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'6" 209 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
45%
40
15
3
3
14
0
9
31
13-25
52%
16-45
36%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.