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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics66%9681
28Pistons34%9196
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.6
36.1
33.2
13
59%
6
4
1
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
3-4
75%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
34.0
35.1
18
71%
4
4
2
1
1
5
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
50%
2-4
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
28.4
39.7
5
32%
2
10
0
2
0
6
0
2
3-4
75%
1-6
6-12
17%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
27.5
24.5
14
64%
6
0
0
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
6-10
4-6
60%
56%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
26.8
19.5
8
58%
11
1
0
0
5
1
3
8
0-2
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
19.6
18.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
15.1
4.8
4
67%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.8
14.4
10.2
4
41%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
14.0
8.0
7
41%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
0-1
0%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
10.7
15.8
4
50%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
5.0
4.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.0
4.3
2.9
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
3.9
3.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
38.0
35.2
16
48%
3
1
4
1
0
2
0
3
12-15
80%
2-9
5-11
22%
44%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
37.1
34.4
13
41%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
2-4
50%
4-13
5-12
31%
46%
1-1
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
32.7
30.6
17
39%
10
3
1
1
0
2
6
4
1-7
14%
8-19
6-11
42%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.2
30.1
30.3
12
68%
4
2
0
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
1-5
3-8
20%
42%
2-2
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
21.1
24.2
6
43%
10
3
2
1
1
3
3
7
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
23.8
22.0
4
29%
0
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.0
21.6
18.4
13
51%
6
0
2
1
1
0
2
4
5-6
83%
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
14.6
18.1
0
0%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.1
12.5
4.1
7
74%
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.1
7.1
7.5
6
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
0.7
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.4
0.7
1.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
6.2
0
1-2
41%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.