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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks58%10192
23Nets42%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
36.3
30.1
29
57%
25
0
1
1
1
1
13
12
5-6
83%
9-19
4-9
47%
48%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.4
34.1
22.5
10
39%
3
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
8-9
89%
1-9
3-6
11%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.4
33.6
32.0
17
52%
7
4
1
1
1
2
2
5
3-3
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
2-4
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
33.5
30.4
11
55%
4
4
2
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
3-7
43%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
17.8
8.4
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
28.7
13.5
12
56%
8
0
2
0
0
4
2
6
2-4
50%
5-9
1-3
56%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
17.3
21.9
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
17.2
14.5
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
54%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.9
9.7
10.0
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
8.4
16.4
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.2
3.6
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
18.7
0
3-7
48%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
9.6
0
2-3
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
37.0
38.4
26
50%
3
6
4
1
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
7-15
6-12
47%
48%
3-9
33%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
36.0
33.3
12
34%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-8
75%
3-9
5-10
33%
45%
0-5
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
31.1
37.8
13
51%
8
1
1
1
0
4
2
6
3-4
75%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
24.2
23.3
2
25%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
0-3
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
21.6
33.8
9
38%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
5-11
45%
2-7
8-16
29%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
37.3
22.0
17
74%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
46%
2-4
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
26.1
31.0
4
21%
15
0
1
1
0
0
9
6
2-3
67%
1-8
3-6
13%
46%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.8
16.8
7.5
2
17%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Andre Emmett
G · 6'5" 230 · 29.5
4.6
5.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
3.5
5.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
1.8
15.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
11.5
0
1-3
46%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
7.1
0
1-1
47%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.