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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Jazz34%9785
15Rockets66%103101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.0
35.1
26.9
22
59%
4
1
3
1
1
3
2
2
6-6
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
34.9
24.9
11
110%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
3-3
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.1
34.0
29.3
23
53%
11
2
0
1
2
0
3
8
3-4
75%
10-20
7-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
26.5
21.4
9
65%
1
4
3
1
1
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.9
21.3
23.6
4
41%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.7
24.4
22.4
0
0%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-4
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
21.6
16.6
3
30%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.6
14.1
18.1
5
26%
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
2
3-6
50%
1-7
3-6
14%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
12.0
16.8
6
50%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.6
10.2
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.8
5.0
15.1
2
50%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.3
0.9
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
3.8
0
0-1
41%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
39.7
27.0
11
49%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
39.0
26.8
26
62%
9
3
1
1
0
4
2
7
2-2
100%
12-20
6-11
60%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
37.9
34.7
32
100%
1
9
1
2
0
1
0
1
7-7
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
7-8
88%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
27.6
25.1
8
42%
7
1
0
1
0
0
4
3
0-1
0%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
27.3
32.8
7
52%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
20.6
25.8
8
63%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
17.9
21.7
4
67%
5
0
1
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
11.6
2.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
4
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
10.1
18.4
2
25%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
8.5
10.8
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-2
0%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.