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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1076ers55%9891
19Timberwolves45%9692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.7
39.7
30.9
20
50%
5
2
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
10-17
4-9
59%
45%
0-3
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
33.7
36.6
13
67%
7
3
2
2
0
2
1
6
2-4
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
33.3
26.6
8
37%
7
2
0
1
1
0
4
3
4-4
100%
2-9
5-9
22%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
28.8
22.8
9
45%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
1-5
20%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
20.7
16.8
6
50%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
27.5
30.2
13
50%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
26.4
29.3
10
42%
5
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-12
6-12
42%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
15.6
19.9
8
50%
4
0
2
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
14.3
21.0
4
40%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.8
8.0
0
1-2
49%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.0
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.2
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 36.0
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.4
41.0
38.5
20
38%
15
2
0
1
0
1
5
10
6-8
75%
7-19
6-13
37%
48%
0-4
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.1
37.1
36.4
17
75%
9
1
0
1
2
3
5
4
9-10
90%
4-7
7-12
57%
54%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.3
36.9
33.9
22
56%
6
5
1
2
0
1
0
6
6-6
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
41%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.0
30.6
32.4
10
50%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
21.9
23.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
21.8
18.1
3
50%
5
0
2
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
21.5
23.2
14
54%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.7
17.9
13.1
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
11.4
19.4
4
33%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
5.3
0
1-2
46%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
3.6
0
0-0
47%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.