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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nuggets35%100118
7Thunder65%105124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.3
45.9
32.4
17
50%
4
7
0
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
7-14
5-9
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
43.1
26.4
27
57%
7
5
2
0
0
3
2
5
5-6
83%
8-15
2-5
53%
49%
2-6
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.0
29.9
29.5
10
36%
4
3
3
2
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
3-8
45%
44%
0-3
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.6
20.7
9.5
6
51%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
11.3
20.4
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.9
36.1
25.0
21
53%
1
10
1
1
1
4
1
0
2-2
100%
8-14
3-6
57%
46%
1-5
20%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
31.9
25.6
11
51%
11
1
0
1
0
2
2
9
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
29.1
19.6
11
80%
6
0
0
1
3
0
3
3
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.0
13.1
16.8
13
87%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
1-1
100%
6-7
2-5
86%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
4.1
4.0
2
41%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.9
21.3
1
2-3
49%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
10.0
0
1-2
48%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
4.6
0
0-1
45%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
45.5
33.5
51
79%
8
3
4
1
0
5
2
6
8-10
80%
14-22
7-13
64%
52%
5-6
83%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
43.8
31.0
40
64%
4
9
0
2
1
2
1
3
5-5
100%
13-23
7-14
57%
47%
3-6
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
40.7
24.8
14
80%
15
0
1
0
11
1
8
7
2-4
50%
6-7
3-6
86%
53%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
27.0
18.6
2
17%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-5
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
20.8
17.0
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
39.4
30.8
10
34%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
1-5
3-6
20%
54%
1-7
14%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
20.7
23.7
3
45%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
10.4
14.7
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
9.2
16.2
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
7.5
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
10.0
0
1-2
52%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.