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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers54%9890
17Suns46%97102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
39.9
35.0
32
55%
7
5
2
1
0
10
1
6
9-12
75%
10-16
8-16
63%
49%
1-8
13%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
36.4
35.0
17
62%
12
6
1
1
0
2
1
11
5-6
83%
6-11
7-13
55%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
28.4
32.8
16
60%
10
2
0
1
4
3
3
7
2-3
67%
7-12
6-11
58%
56%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
18.9
24.6
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
18.2
22.8
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
29.0
24.8
2
50%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
21.6
24.6
8
57%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
18.8
2.2
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
11.3
21.3
5
28%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
8.2
12.8
4
40%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
4.3
3.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
4.3
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
0.8
2.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
41.8
36.0
21
61%
15
1
1
1
0
2
3
12
3-5
60%
9-15
7-12
60%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.0
36.5
30.5
8
41%
2
14
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
35.5
26.7
15
51%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
34.4
27.7
25
71%
3
4
1
1
2
0
1
2
5-6
83%
7-9
3-5
78%
50%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
27.7
24.4
13
78%
6
0
3
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
20.6
22.0
10
37%
8
2
1
1
2
1
3
5
5-6
83%
1-8
3-6
13%
45%
1-3
33%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
14.1
17.8
6
34%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
12.1
10.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.2
12.0
13.6
2
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
5.2
7.8
2
53%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
10.6
0
1-2
56%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
8.1
0
1-1
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.6
4.1
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.