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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets26%86108
21Pacers74%95117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
42.6
34.4
21
66%
6
5
1
2
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
44%
3-6
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
39.1
29.4
17
54%
2
1
0
0
2
5
1
1
1-4
25%
8-14
6-13
57%
45%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
34.3
27.5
15
63%
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
3-7
43%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
27.3
24.1
9
57%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
20.6
29.3
9
77%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
32.4
23.5
19
53%
5
10
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
6-12
3-7
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
24.6
14.2
9
95%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
17.1
20.3
2
26%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
14.4
13.1
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-4
100%
41%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
12.5
14.0
5
58%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-3
33%
2-2
1-4
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
10.0
0
1-3
52%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.7
0
1-2
45%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
5.3
0
1-1
39%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
44.2
27.4
20
50%
6
6
2
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
7-13
3-5
54%
51%
2-7
29%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.8
40.8
26.4
14
43%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
4-5
80%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
2-7
29%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
39.4
29.1
18
73%
8
6
1
1
0
1
1
7
1-3
33%
7-10
3-7
70%
49%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
39.1
25.8
16
58%
7
3
0
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.2
38.7
28.2
30
67%
13
0
0
0
3
2
7
6
8-12
67%
11-17
5-10
65%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.3
15.8
20.0
4
34%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.4
13.6
19.5
11
87%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.1
12.4
8.5
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
12.3
21.2
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.5
8.8
18.2
4
67%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.2
9.5
0
1-2
47%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.8
6.3
0
1-1
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.8
3.8
0
0-1
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.