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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Spurs40%9597
6Trail Blazers60%99137
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.6
43.0
22.6
24
72%
10
1
5
1
1
2
2
8
4-6
67%
7-10
2-4
70%
46%
2-4
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
36.6
2.7
13
45%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-10
0-1
20%
42%
2-3
67%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
30.6
22.5
16
50%
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
7-9
78%
3-10
1-3
30%
44%
1-2
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.8
20.7
21.3
10
45%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.7
18.7
22.8
4
37%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.9
34.8
5.4
11
35%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
6-8
75%
1-7
0-1
14%
43%
1-5
20%
Eric Dawson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
31.7
5.1
9
51%
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
4-8
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
18.1
25.7
10
60%
1
3
0
0
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.9
5.9
28.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.8
36.8
1
8-16
49%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.8
33.3
1
6-13
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.1
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.9
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
31.9
35.7
19
75%
10
6
0
1
3
3
3
7
6-6
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.9
30.3
23.8
20
107%
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
44%
5-7
71%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
27.4
31.4
21
74%
7
3
2
1
1
1
1
6
5-5
100%
8-12
7-15
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.2
25.4
34.7
19
74%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
3-5
60%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
14.2
23.8
0
0%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
24.2
29.2
11
55%
4
4
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.7
21.1
25.9
16
73%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
4-8
50%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
17.7
4.0
17
67%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-6
50%
7-9
0-1
78%
45%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.4
12.2
14.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
9.7
7.2
5
64%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
9.7
2.6
3
75%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.3
8.5
7.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.6
8.0
2.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.0
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.