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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings48%101115
29Wizards52%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
40.7
27.3
9
44%
11
1
0
1
1
1
3
8
5-5
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
36.0
38.6
22
56%
4
3
3
1
0
0
4
0
4-4
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.0
35.9
31.3
18
47%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
9-15
3-7
60%
43%
0-4
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.5
27.3
29.2
16
37%
16
0
1
1
1
2
9
7
4-4
100%
6-20
6-14
30%
45%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
25.7
37.6
22
84%
6
4
2
2
1
1
1
5
6-7
86%
8-10
6-14
80%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
34.3
11.7
12
51%
5
1
2
0
3
2
0
5
1-2
50%
4-6
1-1
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.7
20.7
16.1
6
104%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.0
12.1
8.3
8
63%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-2
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
7.3
9.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.0
13.3
0
1-3
49%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.4
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
1.4
0
0-0
49%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.6
0.9
0
0-0
45%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
38.4
33.9
21
58%
9
11
3
1
2
5
0
9
5-7
71%
8-15
5-11
53%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
34.9
29.6
17
36%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-13
4-9
15%
47%
4-10
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
25.3
24.7
9
85%
10
2
0
1
1
3
3
7
1-3
33%
4-4
5-9
100%
55%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.2
16.7
25.6
3
39%
6
0
2
1
0
3
3
3
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
13.3
16.1
0
0%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.3
33.7
26.7
32
74%
2
4
1
1
0
3
1
1
5-6
83%
9-13
4-9
69%
46%
3-6
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.5
30.0
22.3
7
40%
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.2
22.7
13.6
6
77%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
3-3
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
14.1
11.5
8
67%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.8
9.7
12.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.8
1.3
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
6.6
0
1-3
47%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.