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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics34%91104
6Thunder66%96119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
43.8
23.9
16
63%
7
2
0
1
1
3
1
6
4-4
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.6
41.9
34.6
21
67%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
3-5
60%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
38.3
33.6
23
52%
5
8
1
1
0
2
0
5
12-16
75%
4-11
4-9
36%
48%
1-4
25%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
37.6
23.3
23
79%
13
1
1
1
2
4
1
12
7-8
88%
8-11
4-9
73%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
35.2
19.1
12
61%
2
5
1
1
3
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
43%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.8
15.7
13.3
3
38%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-3
33%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
15.3
14.2
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
4.7
12.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
4.6
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.0
2.8
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
24.3
1
4-8
49%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
20.4
1
3-6
54%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
5.8
0
0-1
42%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
41.4
33.9
31
55%
5
6
1
2
0
2
0
5
8-9
89%
10-22
7-15
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
40.2
37.0
28
54%
9
6
4
1
0
3
1
8
8-9
89%
7-18
7-14
39%
52%
2-4
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
39.8
25.3
17
64%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
4-5
80%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
3-8
38%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
30.8
22.5
8
68%
10
0
0
0
1
3
5
5
0-2
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
21.5
29.6
4
34%
5
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
34.4
23.2
17
67%
4
7
2
1
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
1-2
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
12.6
13.3
8
82%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
12.3
12.8
6
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
6.6
12.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
0.5
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
15.6
0
1-2
58%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
10.8
0
1-2
51%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.