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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks35%9382
8Knicks65%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
34.2
41.0
13
44%
7
3
4
2
1
4
4
3
3-4
75%
5-11
8-16
45%
48%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
30.9
19.7
16
49%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
47%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
29.0
25.2
18
65%
1
0
3
1
1
3
0
1
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
2-5
40%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
26.8
15.3
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
21.8
31.9
2
25%
4
2
2
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
19.0
13.1
6
34%
1
1
1
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
1-6
17%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
17.0
4.7
2
20%
8
2
1
0
0
5
2
6
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
15.8
15.2
7
64%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
15.0
23.2
5
75%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
14.8
13.5
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
12.0
1.3
7
55%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
3.8
2.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
3.7
0
0-0
42%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.4
33.7
29.2
7
61%
8
1
0
1
0
4
2
6
1-4
25%
3-4
3-5
75%
62%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
33.1
30.5
16
60%
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
2-3
67%
7-11
3-6
64%
54%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
32.5
36.5
17
67%
2
9
2
2
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
27.2
20.5
15
47%
4
3
2
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
6-14
4-8
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
24.5
31.9
7
41%
10
0
0
1
1
1
1
9
1-1
100%
3-8
7-13
38%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
26.0
24.2
7
45%
8
2
1
1
0
0
3
5
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
25.3
25.1
12
56%
5
1
5
1
0
2
1
4
3-6
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
46%
1-4
25%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
22.2
19.6
17
71%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
5-10
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.9
13.9
10.9
1
13%
1
6
2
1
0
5
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.4
1.6
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.8
4.3
0
0-0
40%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.7
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.