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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Warriors39%101106
13Suns61%104104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
42.7
35.7
26
53%
3
6
1
2
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
8-18
6-13
44%
48%
2-5
40%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
37.1
37.4
22
54%
4
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
4-5
80%
9-18
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
35.8
25.3
23
82%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
6-7
86%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
17.7
11.5
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
10.0
33.3
9
57%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.7
31.6
13.1
14
47%
2
5
3
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-7
1-3
14%
47%
3-6
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
21.8
27.3
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
16.9
9.8
4
67%
9
2
0
0
1
0
6
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
15.5
22.0
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
10.8
14.5
4
40%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
2.6
0
0-1
47%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.4
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
40.6
35.7
21
73%
15
1
1
1
1
0
5
10
3-3
100%
9-13
7-12
69%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
37.8
27.2
22
48%
9
0
3
1
1
0
7
2
0-0
-
8-15
3-5
53%
48%
2-8
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.0
34.5
30.8
7
66%
5
9
0
1
0
5
0
5
2-3
67%
1-2
4-6
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
31.6
28.7
16
43%
3
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4-6
67%
6-15
3-7
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
30.3
28.4
17
56%
5
3
0
1
0
2
4
1
3-5
60%
7-9
3-6
78%
53%
0-4
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.2
18.1
15.7
8
48%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
16.4
17.8
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
13.7
13.7
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
9.8
22.3
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
7.4
6.4
6
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
5.8
0
1-1
58%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
4.9
0
0-1
42%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.6
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.