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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Lakers39%9396
3Mavericks61%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
39.4
35.8
24
58%
9
4
3
1
0
5
4
5
2-6
33%
11-18
6-13
61%
50%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
38.0
35.9
15
40%
5
4
1
1
0
7
1
4
5-9
56%
2-10
8-17
20%
47%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
34.2
31.7
19
70%
14
3
1
0
1
1
5
9
7-8
88%
6-10
6-10
60%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
26.7
22.1
15
84%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
1-4
80%
39%
2-3
67%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
20.4
22.8
4
41%
8
3
1
1
2
3
4
4
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
28.1
18.2
9
51%
9
2
0
1
1
0
3
6
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
21.7
21.1
4
40%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
21.3
24.1
0
0%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
10.1
11.1
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
0.2
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
6.7
0
0-1
43%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
3.8
0
0-1
40%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
2.2
0
0-0
41%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
37.0
30.1
8
34%
9
5
3
1
0
1
7
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
35.9
32.6
25
49%
12
2
1
1
0
0
2
10
6-8
75%
8-16
6-12
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.9
33.6
24.6
5
42%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
1-5
20%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.2
31.7
20.1
4
29%
11
2
2
0
1
1
6
5
0-2
0%
2-6
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
31.1
26.1
20
53%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
3-4
75%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
3-7
43%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.4
30.7
30.8
16
50%
4
5
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
2-7
29%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
12.1
2.7
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
10.1
20.1
4
100%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
7.2
3.2
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
1-4
25%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
6.2
8.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
4.5
18.8
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
20.6
0
2-5
51%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
6.5
0
1-2
49%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.