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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Magic49%9078
20Hawks51%9183
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
39.9
36.5
12
65%
12
3
2
1
5
3
2
10
2-5
40%
5-7
7-13
71%
57%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
35.4
28.5
11
33%
3
4
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
1-9
11%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
31.4
28.7
10
38%
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
2-6
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
28.4
17.7
6
33%
3
4
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
43%
0-4
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
23.4
16.4
7
35%
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
1-6
17%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
24.6
28.8
13
60%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
21.0
20.6
6
43%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
19.2
2.6
8
46%
5
4
2
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
38%
0-2
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
8.0
16.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-1
100%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
5.0
14.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
3.8
8.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
4.5
0
0-1
41%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
42.8
37.8
22
43%
12
1
1
1
2
4
2
10
5-8
63%
7-21
7-14
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
39.6
27.7
4
29%
13
4
2
1
0
3
6
7
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
28.9
26.8
13
44%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-6
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
24.6
19.6
6
33%
4
4
1
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
22.3
20.8
2
26%
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
25.7
15.3
5
43%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
23.6
24.0
14
70%
5
1
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
19.1
15.2
15
83%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
3-4
75%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
8.3
13.9
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
5.1
10.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
5.8
0
1-1
41%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
3.6
0
0-0
43%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
3.1
0
0-0
57%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.