Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Spurs	46%	100	114	123.9	92	89.8
	15	Nuggets	54%	101	99	107.6	92	94.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 25	38.3	16	62%	6	2	3	0	2	2	2	4	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 30	35.5	16	62%	1	12	1	0	4	2	0	1	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 23	35.0	28	61%	12	3	2	1	0	3	4	8	4-4	100%	12-21	57%	0-0	-
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 32	34.8	17	94%	8	1	1	0	0	3	0	8	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	5-7	71%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 36	29.3	18	53%	9	3	0	3	2	3	2	7	6-9	67%	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32	24.6	12	75%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23	18.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 27	17.0	3	21%	3	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	3.0	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	2.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eric Dawson F · 6'9" 250 · 28	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
T.J. Ford #11 · G · 6'0" 165 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	59%	45	29	7	4	8	0	10	35	19-23	83%	28-59	47%	13-27	48%

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16 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 25	38.3	16	62%	6	2	3	0	2	2	2	4	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 30	35.5	16	62%	1	12	1	0	4	2	0	1	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 23	35.0	28	61%	12	3	2	1	0	3	4	8	4-4	100%	12-21	57%	0-0	-
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 32	34.8	17	94%	8	1	1	0	0	3	0	8	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	5-7	71%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 36	29.3	18	53%	9	3	0	3	2	3	2	7	6-9	67%	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32	24.6	12	75%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23	18.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 27	17.0	3	21%	3	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	3.0	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	2.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eric Dawson F · 6'9" 250 · 28	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
T.J. Ford #11 · G · 6'0" 165 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	59%	45	29	7	4	8	0	10	35	19-23	83%	28-59	47%	13-27	48%

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15 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	39.3	19	53%	4	1	1	0	0	2	1	3	4-5	80%	3-11	27%	3-5	60%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	29.5	23	64%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	2-5	40%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	26.9	20	77%	1	7	1	0	2	4	1	0	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	21.9	4	40%	5	3	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	19.6	8	67%	3	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	27.2	0	0%	9	2	0	1	2	2	0	9	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-5	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	26.1	8	40%	9	3	0	0	2	1	2	7	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	21.1	9	56%	1	7	2	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	19.1	8	67%	6	1	1	0	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	9.3	0	0%	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DND - Lower Back Strain
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DND - Left Ankle Sprain
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	41	25	5	4	11	0	9	32	18-21	86%	30-64	47%	7-19	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.18 58.8%

DEN

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

15

27

56%

DEN

20

33

61%

Midrange

SAS

13

32

41%

DEN

10

31

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13

19.5

27

48%

72%

DEN

7

10.5

19

37%

55%

Free Throws

SAS

19

23

83%

DEN

18

21

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Blair	28	61%	14.0 / 23
T. Duncan	18	53%	9.0 / 17
R. Jefferson	17	94%	8.5 / 9
D. Green	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Parker	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Bonner	12	75%	6.0 / 8
G. Neal	3	21%	1.5 / 7
C. Joseph	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Leonard	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Brewer	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Miller	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Afflalo	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. Stone	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Mozgov	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Harrington	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Koufos	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Faried	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Hamilton	0	-	0.0 / 7
C. Andersen	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 110.9 2 109.3	SAS 123.9 +16.3 DEN 107.6
Pace	7 93.0 2 94.1	SAS 89.8 DEN 94.4 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.5 30 14.6	SAS 16.0 DEN 15.3 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 52.8% 2 51.6%	SAS 55.2% +6.4% DEN 48.8%
TO %	3 14.1% 20 15.7%	SAS 7.7% −3.0% DEN 10.7%
ORB %	24 25.1% 13 27.7%	SAS 23.8% +3.3% DEN 20.5%
FTrt	20 26.1 2 32.6	SAS 26.7 +1.4 DEN 25.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 58.5% 4 61.5%	SAS 70.7% +3.1% DEN 67.6%
STL %	21 8.0% 15 8.6%	SAS 7.6% +2.2% DEN 5.4%
BLK %	27 6.7% 16 8.1%	SAS 6.3% DEN 6.8% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 54.9% 3 54.2%	SAS 58.8% +6.7% DEN 52.1%
Rim FG%	5 60.6% 8 59.7%	SAS 55.6% DEN 60.6% +5.0%
Mid FG%	2 41.4% 14 39.3%	SAS 40.6% +8.3% DEN 32.3%
3P %	1 39.3% 24 33.2%	SAS 48.1% +11.3% DEN 36.8%
FT %	19 74.8% 24 73.6%	SAS 82.6% DEN 85.7% +3.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 36.1% 1 48.0%	SAS 31.4% DEN 39.8% +8.4%
Mid Att. %	9 38.2% 1 27.7%	SAS 37.2% −0.1% DEN 37.3%
3P Att. %	7 25.7% 12 24.3%	SAS 31.4% +8.5% DEN 22.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	114	99
Rebounds	45	41
Assists	29	25
Steals	7	5
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	32 (2)
Field Goals	41-86	37-83
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	20-33
Midrange FG	13-32	10-31
2-Point FG	28-59	30-64
3-Point FG	13-27	7-19
Free Throws	19-23	18-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg