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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors42%9878
18Pacers58%101102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
30.1
36.6
12
51%
6
4
1
1
0
5
4
2
2-2
100%
5-11
8-15
45%
51%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
28.4
37.8
14
37%
5
2
0
2
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
7-15
7-14
47%
47%
0-4
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
18.4
28.9
2
13%
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-5
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
18.2
2.1
2
17%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
12.8
14.3
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
35.3
19.3
14
64%
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
43%
2-4
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.7
25.5
19.9
4
25%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
21.2
13.0
9
42%
4
1
2
0
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
20.4
12.3
4
43%
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
4-6
67%
0-2
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
16.9
24.8
8
63%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.4
12.8
1.2
9
56%
6
0
1
0
4
0
3
3
5-7
71%
2-5
0-0
40%
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
24.2
1
3-6
48%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.0
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
30.3
28.8
11
51%
4
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
30.0
29.3
25
61%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
8-15
4-8
53%
46%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
29.7
27.1
10
46%
7
4
1
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
51%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
26.4
27.2
11
70%
9
5
4
1
1
1
0
9
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
2-2
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.2
20.4
27.5
12
60%
9
2
0
0
3
3
5
4
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.8
21.6
11.8
2
15%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
18.0
18.4
9
95%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.3
16.2
19.6
15
60%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
7-10
70%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.2
12.0
12.0
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.4
11.8
18.7
3
50%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
1-3
33%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.1
11.7
7.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.5
6.0
12.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.8
6.0
3.1
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.