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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets15%8495
2Bulls85%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
39.1
31.6
17
43%
11
5
0
0
1
4
2
9
3-4
75%
7-18
6-14
39%
45%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
34.4
30.2
16
67%
8
4
3
1
1
3
0
8
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
27.0
26.6
5
36%
4
1
2
1
3
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
24.0
29.6
6
43%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-6
75%
43%
0-3
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
21.2
28.9
12
51%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
28.1
26.9
10
56%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-8
29%
43%
2-2
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
20.5
15.2
10
46%
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
4-10
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
18.4
12.2
12
46%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
6-7
86%
3-9
1-3
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
18.2
17.2
2
20%
4
3
0
1
1
1
3
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
9.1
11.6
5
73%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
9.2
0
1-3
52%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.2
0
1-2
45%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
3.5
0
0-1
37%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
41.6
37.0
14
41%
11
2
2
1
0
1
2
9
1-2
50%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
1-5
20%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
40.8
25.0
32
55%
2
9
3
1
2
2
1
1
9-11
82%
10-19
5-9
53%
51%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.0
39.0
32.0
15
56%
16
5
2
1
2
1
6
10
1-3
33%
7-12
4-7
58%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
29.7
28.7
14
50%
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
7-14
6-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.0
16.9
8.8
5
46%
2
5
0
0
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
21.6
21.2
5
42%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
18.3
19.2
5
51%
7
0
2
0
5
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.9
16.0
25.5
6
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
9.0
11.6
3
104%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
7.2
27.1
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
44%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
13.7
1
2-4
45%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
4.1
0
0-1
51%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.