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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards26%95118
20Bucks74%103119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
42.6
35.2
19
56%
5
15
1
1
0
7
0
5
9-9
100%
5-12
5-12
42%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
40.0
14.7
16
48%
9
3
1
1
2
0
6
3
6-6
100%
2-10
1-2
20%
43%
2-4
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
31.3
21.6
20
59%
11
1
0
1
1
1
5
6
2-2
100%
9-16
3-6
56%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
20.1
31.6
7
32%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-10
33%
44%
1-5
20%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
16.9
24.9
4
50%
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.3
27.9
29.1
19
74%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
4-10
43%
43%
3-4
75%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
19.6
2.2
15
107%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
17.3
12.3
14
100%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
4-6
67%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.2
11.9
17.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.8
7.1
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
5.4
11.1
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
25.1
1
2-5
47%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
6.5
0
1-3
44%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
38.4
34.1
11
43%
3
4
2
2
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.4
30.6
33.3
14
37%
4
10
1
1
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
1-5
20%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
27.2
31.4
13
66%
11
1
0
1
0
3
5
6
2-2
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
23.4
9.9
15
54%
10
3
3
0
2
1
4
6
9-11
82%
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
17.1
24.8
6
75%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
33.4
22.2
28
73%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
5-10
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
22.8
17.8
13
72%
6
0
1
1
0
0
4
2
5-7
71%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
20.8
3.9
11
63%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
3-4
75%
4-6
1-1
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
17.4
16.8
6
38%
1
9
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
8.9
16.2
2
33%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
17.0
1
2-5
47%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.9
8.3
0
1-1
49%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
7.4
0
1-2
47%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.