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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors27%9385
14Rockets73%10288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
33.6
33.7
16
58%
8
3
3
1
1
2
2
6
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
29.2
25.9
10
71%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
56%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
27.5
36.2
17
51%
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
5-6
83%
6-12
6-13
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
23.7
34.1
7
39%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
18.0
22.3
4
69%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
25.8
20.7
11
61%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
22.3
23.1
5
87%
15
0
0
1
1
0
3
12
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
20.1
20.2
7
32%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-5
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
15.5
7.8
2
53%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
12.8
4.7
2
33%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
11.5
20.1
4
33%
2
2
0
0
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
38.2
37.2
26
86%
3
5
0
2
0
3
0
3
6-7
86%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
4-4
100%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
33.2
29.6
15
51%
10
0
1
1
0
5
1
9
5-6
83%
5-12
6-13
42%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
31.8
32.7
14
38%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
7-8
88%
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
1-6
17%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
31.4
29.4
6
44%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
27.3
22.1
10
68%
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
23.7
23.3
7
51%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
23.5
26.1
8
36%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
52%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
19.4
17.6
2
14%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.8
8.1
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
3.4
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.