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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nets17%9193
3Mavericks83%10392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
37.6
35.0
12
35%
4
12
2
1
0
4
0
4
4-5
80%
1-6
5-11
17%
46%
2-9
22%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
37.1
37.0
10
71%
15
0
1
1
3
4
4
11
0-0
-
5-7
5-11
71%
47%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
36.2
25.5
38
63%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
4-5
80%
17-28
6-12
61%
46%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
33.7
35.6
6
61%
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
4-10
67%
43%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
17.2
23.4
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
27.7
25.6
15
47%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
3-9
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
18.7
10
83%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
16.1
15.9
2
25%
8
1
1
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
11.0
14.8
0
0%
7
5
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
4.6
28.7
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
14.9
1
1-3
41%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
6.5
0
1-1
43%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
4.9
0
0-1
41%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
36.2
33.4
24
50%
10
1
3
1
0
1
4
6
7-11
64%
4-15
7-13
27%
53%
3-4
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
30.9
32.2
11
34%
8
2
0
1
0
3
4
4
0-0
-
4-13
5-10
31%
53%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.9
29.9
27.5
3
21%
4
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-7
14%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
29.2
24.1
18
74%
10
1
1
0
3
0
5
5
4-5
80%
7-10
2-4
70%
57%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
22.4
27.4
2
23%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
33.0
30.6
12
40%
4
3
4
1
2
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
51%
2-6
33%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
24.1
6.5
11
47%
3
2
3
0
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
52%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
12.4
7.7
3
31%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
58%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
7.6
6.2
4
46%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
6.4
16.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
57%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
4.1
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
3.8
13.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
14.2
0
2-3
53%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.