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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Jazz53%10296
23Kings47%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
31.2
25.0
18
83%
1
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
3-4
75%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.8
28.8
22.0
15
58%
7
3
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-2
0%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.1
28.7
33.8
12
43%
8
3
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
6-14
9-18
43%
50%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.9
27.5
26.1
11
53%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.0
24.8
33.7
4
33%
2
4
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
7-13
33%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.6
25.2
13.8
7
30%
11
0
2
0
2
3
4
7
1-4
25%
3-10
2-5
30%
51%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
20.5
19.5
13
51%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.6
19.2
14.2
11
59%
2
3
1
0
0
3
2
0
1-3
33%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
17.3
11.2
4
42%
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.7
16.8
21.2
1
27%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
2.1
0
0-0
43%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.3
1.4
0
0-0
55%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
39.3
32.1
18
65%
2
8
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
2-5
40%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
35.6
31.3
10
60%
8
1
0
1
3
2
4
4
2-3
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.5
31.9
28.1
22
55%
18
2
1
1
1
1
8
10
6-7
86%
8-16
6-14
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
31.5
33.1
13
43%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
5-7
71%
4-10
6-12
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
28.7
36.9
21
60%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
7-10
5-10
70%
48%
0-4
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
18.7
19.2
6
60%
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.2
18.0
21.8
4
67%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.7
16.1
17.2
2
25%
4
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
11.8
8.5
2
20%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.0
8.4
9.7
5
50%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.0
9.5
0
1-2
49%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.4
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.