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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder51%9692
1076ers49%9588
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
36.8
38.2
23
52%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
6-9
67%
4-12
7-14
33%
51%
3-6
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
36.0
36.5
22
47%
13
4
1
2
0
7
7
6
8-8
100%
7-16
7-16
44%
46%
0-4
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
31.2
27.0
3
31%
11
2
0
0
1
1
3
8
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
26.7
28.5
10
73%
8
0
1
0
3
2
5
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
21.6
26.4
5
63%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
1-2
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
32.4
29.1
16
58%
8
4
1
1
0
3
1
7
7-11
64%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
20.0
9.7
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
12.5
11.8
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
40%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
11.8
10.5
2
13%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
41%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
10.9
12.7
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
8.5
0
1-1
48%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
1.0
0
0-0
41%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
39.1
32.2
18
57%
5
6
3
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.7
33.4
27.1
18
57%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
32.7
20.9
10
36%
10
1
1
1
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
5-14
3-7
36%
48%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
30.4
31.5
13
52%
5
2
2
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
19.4
18.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
29.1
29.4
16
53%
9
1
0
1
2
1
5
4
0-0
-
8-15
6-12
53%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
26.5
27.0
11
42%
0
6
2
1
0
3
0
0
5-5
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
0-3
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
16.1
22.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
13.3
22.0
2
33%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.8
7.9
0
1-2
49%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.0
6.1
0
1-1
45%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.2
3.6
0
0-1
43%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 36.0
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.