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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic75%101102
29Wizards25%9295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
38.3
37.3
14
51%
12
1
1
1
5
4
4
8
6-11
55%
4-9
8-13
44%
60%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
36.7
29.4
23
67%
15
3
0
1
0
2
5
10
7-7
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
4-10
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
31.9
29.0
12
50%
5
4
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
4-9
44%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
31.9
30.4
11
56%
7
6
2
1
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
30.2
18.9
12
46%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
2-6
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
20.8
20.4
12
61%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
18.1
27.2
15
80%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
2-3
67%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
16.1
3.3
0
0%
3
0
3
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
16.1
20.8
3
75%
0
4
0
1
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-2
50%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
11.1
0
1-3
51%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
7.9
0
1-2
43%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
6.7
0
1-2
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
43.4
39.1
33
56%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
7-10
70%
13-23
6-13
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
39.6
27.7
7
37%
13
1
3
1
2
1
5
8
1-1
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
36.3
30.8
6
51%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
1-1
100%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
29.6
27.6
18
48%
4
5
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
43%
2-6
33%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.2
15.8
13.5
4
40%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
21.9
13.6
7
44%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
18.9
23.9
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
15.9
19.7
9
53%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
8.0
15.3
4
58%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
6.1
8.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
4.6
7.3
2
53%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
10.6
0
1-2
47%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
6.6
0
1-2
44%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.