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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks32%9096
11Celtics68%96102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
35.0
28.4
25
60%
10
3
0
1
1
2
4
6
3-4
75%
11-17
4-9
65%
46%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
34.3
20.4
23
61%
8
2
0
0
0
1
3
5
9-9
100%
7-15
3-8
47%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
34.2
35.8
8
33%
8
2
2
2
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
42%
2-5
40%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.4
33.1
31.2
6
27%
2
8
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-10
0%
43%
2-7
29%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
17.2
19.5
4
45%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
30.9
28.7
10
39%
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
22.4
16.7
8
40%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
13.5
7.4
8
57%
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
42%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
12.0
15.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
5.6
11.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.9
1.7
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
21.1
1
2-5
46%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
5.3
0
1-1
43%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
37.5
28.5
16
50%
7
2
0
0
1
2
4
3
4-7
57%
6-13
5-9
46%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
35.4
34.2
10
42%
6
5
0
1
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
34.5
29.3
15
54%
11
10
0
1
0
3
3
8
1-2
50%
7-12
4-9
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.6
31.6
35.0
15
64%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
31.3
31.3
25
57%
10
3
2
1
2
1
2
8
7-9
78%
9-16
6-11
56%
51%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
26.2
20.2
7
60%
13
0
2
1
1
1
6
7
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
15.8
20.9
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.8
13.7
11.7
8
52%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
13.5
18.4
2
25%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.1
0.6
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
5.5
0
0-1
48%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
2.6
0
0-1
49%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.