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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors29%9285
16Hawks71%10082
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
40.0
31.8
22
48%
12
1
1
1
2
3
1
11
4-4
100%
9-21
6-13
43%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
35.9
17.1
0
0%
15
1
1
0
0
2
1
14
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
38%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
35.3
31.4
24
41%
1
8
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-5
80%
10-24
5-12
42%
46%
0-3
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
27.8
21.8
7
44%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
9.1
14.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
31.2
19.5
12
60%
8
1
3
0
3
1
5
3
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
42%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
29.3
29.2
2
25%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.7
16.4
22.8
10
57%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
15.1
18.2
8
68%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
0.1
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
12.6
0
1-3
41%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.4
8.5
0
1-2
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.0
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
40.6
21.4
11
35%
12
1
2
1
0
0
7
5
1-2
50%
5-12
2-4
42%
48%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
39.2
39.1
14
30%
10
2
0
2
2
2
2
8
4-8
50%
5-18
8-15
28%
51%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
37.7
31.5
13
40%
16
3
0
1
2
1
5
11
3-5
60%
5-14
3-6
36%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
37.6
31.5
18
48%
4
2
0
1
1
3
2
2
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
50%
2-7
29%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
37.0
27.2
15
52%
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
20.6
23.4
4
52%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
11.3
21.0
2
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
6.6
11.7
1
13%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
5.6
8.1
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
3.8
16.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
18.5
1
1-1
45%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
3.4
0
0-0
45%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.