for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors40%8995
25Hornets60%9284
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
40.4
29.5
21
49%
6
4
0
1
0
1
1
5
5-8
63%
8-18
5-10
44%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
35.4
27.8
7
45%
7
4
2
1
5
2
4
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
57%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
32.2
26.6
12
50%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
2-5
40%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
21.4
32.3
6
61%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
18.1
18.6
8
44%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
32.2
20.4
21
73%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
50%
5-7
71%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
22.9
23.8
15
77%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
21.5
22.2
0
0%
3
0
0
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
15.8
14.0
5
51%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
0.2
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
13.1
0
1-2
45%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
40.3
25.9
20
57%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
6-6
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
35.9
32.4
11
55%
7
5
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
27.4
26.2
11
62%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
25.6
35.1
17
51%
10
1
0
1
2
1
3
7
5-6
83%
6-14
8-16
43%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
24.4
23.9
4
29%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
31.1
27.4
10
35%
5
6
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-2
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
23.6
17.9
9
59%
6
0
1
0
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
14.6
17.7
0
0%
7
0
0
1
1
0
3
4
0-2
0%
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
11.1
9.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
5.9
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
9.0
0
1-2
55%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.6
0
1-2
48%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.