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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Bulls54%9796
13Spurs46%9689
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
37.2
39.5
10
51%
9
2
0
1
0
2
2
7
2-4
50%
1-5
5-10
20%
46%
2-3
67%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
35.3
35.3
29
55%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
8-8
100%
9-18
7-14
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.0
32.2
36.1
10
56%
13
3
0
1
0
0
4
9
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
22.6
29.0
8
31%
8
1
2
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
4-13
6-12
31%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.0
15.6
17.0
2
12%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-8
3-6
13%
44%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.9
28.9
19.3
8
40%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
25.1
18.7
7
44%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
15.6
10.0
2
114%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
14.4
21.4
8
139%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
2-2
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
12.9
19.2
12
75%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
41%
2-4
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
0.1
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
2.8
0
0-0
45%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
1.5
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.8
37.8
29.7
11
33%
6
9
0
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
5-16
6-12
31%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.8
32.8
25.6
18
41%
10
0
2
1
2
1
0
10
2-2
100%
8-19
5-10
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
29.9
29.6
11
69%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
3-6
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.9
23.3
25.9
9
41%
9
2
1
1
1
2
4
5
1-2
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.7
19.7
26.0
6
150%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
2-2
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.9
24.4
16.6
5
64%
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
24.2
20.3
21
66%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
44%
2-7
29%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.9
21.5
21.7
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.2
18.4
13.6
5
36%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.9
8.0
12.6
0
0%
0
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Eric Dawson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
10.2
0
1-2
45%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
10.0
0
1-2
42%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.