Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Trail Blazers	55%	102	95	109.2	87	85.2
	18	Nuggets	45%	100	104	118.2	88	89.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 27	42.1	20	53%	9	0	0	1	3	2	1	8	6-6	100%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 32	35.8	21	70%	5	5	1	2	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-9	56%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 30	35.3	4	29%	3	5	2	1	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum G · 6'7" 230 · 23	32.5	9	35%	7	3	1	2	1	1	5	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 38	16.1	10	100%	4	0	1	3	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-

Wesley Matthews G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25	28.0	11	46%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 28	23.9	6	38%	2	7	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Elliot Williams G · 6'5" 190 · 23	11.5	10	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Chris Johnson F · 6'11" 210 · 27	9.5	4	67%	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Craig Smith F · 6'7" 265 · 28	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 39	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nolan Smith G · 6'2" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	51%	36	23	6	10	13	0	11	25	10-11	91%	29-63	46%	9-24	38%

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7 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 27	42.1	20	53%	9	0	0	1	3	2	1	8	6-6	100%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 32	35.8	21	70%	5	5	1	2	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-9	56%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 30	35.3	4	29%	3	5	2	1	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum G · 6'7" 230 · 23	32.5	9	35%	7	3	1	2	1	1	5	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 38	16.1	10	100%	4	0	1	3	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-

Wesley Matthews G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25	28.0	11	46%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 28	23.9	6	38%	2	7	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Elliot Williams G · 6'5" 190 · 23	11.5	10	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Chris Johnson F · 6'11" 210 · 27	9.5	4	67%	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Craig Smith F · 6'7" 265 · 28	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 39	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nolan Smith G · 6'2" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	51%	36	23	6	10	13	0	11	25	10-11	91%	29-63	46%	9-24	38%

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18 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	37.7	18	60%	5	9	1	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	2-4	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	36.4	12	38%	1	6	0	3	0	1	0	1	3-6	50%	3-8	38%	1-5	20%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	26.3	11	39%	4	0	1	0	2	1	2	2	0-1	0%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	22.5	14	64%	9	1	0	2	2	3	5	4	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	17.4	13	93%	10	0	1	0	1	2	7	3	1-2	50%	6-6	100%	0-0	-

Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	31.4	13	54%	10	2	2	1	0	0	2	8	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	29.3	4	40%	3	5	2	0	4	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	24.7	8	50%	11	0	0	4	1	3	5	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	14.4	11	55%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DND - Low Back Strain
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	52%	54	26	7	10	12	0	21	33	10-16	63%	38-70	54%	6-21	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.02 51.1%

DEN

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

14

29

48%

DEN

23

44

52%

Midrange

POR

15

34

44%

DEN

15

26

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

9

13.5

24

38%

56%

DEN

6

9.0

21

29%

43%

Free Throws

POR

10

11

91%

DEN

10

16

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Crawford	21	70%	10.5 / 15
L. Aldridge	20	53%	10.0 / 19
W. Matthews	11	46%	5.5 / 12
M. Camby	10	100%	5.0 / 5
E. Williams	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Batum	9	35%	4.5 / 13
R. Felton	6	38%	3.0 / 8
G. Wallace	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Johnson	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	18	60%	9.0 / 15
T. Mozgov	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Faried	13	93%	6.5 / 7
A. Harrington	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Afflalo	12	38%	6.0 / 16
C. Brewer	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Hamilton	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Koufos	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Miller	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 105.6 2 109.3	POR 109.2 DEN 118.2 +9.0
Pace	14 91.3 2 94.1	POR 85.2 DEN 89.9 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time	12 15.9 30 14.6	POR 16.9 DEN 16.0 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 48.8% 2 51.6%	POR 48.9% DEN 51.6% +2.7%
TO %	14 15.0% 20 15.7%	POR 12.4% DEN 10.9% −1.5%
ORB %	21 26.3% 13 27.7%	POR 25.0% DEN 45.7% +20.7%
FTrt	19 26.3 2 32.6	POR 12.6 DEN 17.6 +5.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 56.2% 4 61.5%	POR 60.5% +1.4% DEN 59.1%
STL %	11 8.7% 15 8.6%	POR 6.9% DEN 8.0% +1.1%
BLK %	20 7.8% 16 8.1%	POR 14.3% DEN 15.9% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 51.7% 3 54.2%	POR 51.1% DEN 51.5% +0.4%
Rim FG%	24 56.2% 8 59.7%	POR 48.3% DEN 52.3% +4.0%
Mid FG%	12 39.5% 14 39.3%	POR 44.1% DEN 57.7% +13.6%
3P %	14 34.6% 24 33.2%	POR 37.5% +8.9% DEN 28.6%
FT %	2 79.6% 24 73.6%	POR 90.9% +28.4% DEN 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.5% 1 48.0%	POR 33.3% DEN 48.4% +15.0%
Mid Att. %	7 38.0% 1 27.7%	POR 39.1% DEN 28.6% −10.5%
3P Att. %	8 25.5% 12 24.3%	POR 27.6% +4.5% DEN 23.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	87	88
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	95	104
Rebounds	36	54
Assists	23	26
Steals	6	7
Blocks	10	10
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (6)	21 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	33 (0)
Field Goals	38-87	44-91
At-the-Rim FG	14-29	23-44
Midrange FG	15-34	15-26
2-Point FG	29-63	38-70
3-Point FG	9-24	6-21
Free Throws	10-11	10-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg