Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves19%9085
4Lakers81%102104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
27.6
23.3
10
56%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.0
26.2
26.7
8
34%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
47%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
26.1
24.7
10
45%
7
1
2
1
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
25.4
30.2
3
19%
3
9
2
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-6
2-6
0%
39%
1-2
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
17.0
18.8
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
25.8
24.8
14
47%
6
1
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-4
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
44%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
21.6
20.5
14
80%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.6
18.9
3.4
12
54%
9
1
0
0
0
1
4
5
2-5
40%
5-9
1-1
56%
45%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
17.5
14.5
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
12.5
3.1
3
34%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
12.0
2.8
2
17%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-3
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
9.6
21.2
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.6
0
0-0
42%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
34.0
34.8
13
63%
13
1
1
1
3
0
1
12
1-3
33%
6-9
6-12
67%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
32.9
36.9
31
57%
7
8
1
1
0
5
1
6
9-10
90%
11-19
8-17
58%
49%
0-4
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
30.8
36.8
15
66%
5
4
1
1
3
2
1
4
3-3
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
53%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
24.0
24.0
8
68%
2
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.6
20.4
24.3
7
70%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
24.8
22.1
8
57%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
23.6
19.2
7
70%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
21.3
20.3
9
46%
8
0
1
1
0
0
4
4
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
15.1
9.8
2
13%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
3.8
1.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
3.6
2.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
2.8
3.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
2.8
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.