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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder43%97105
7Magic57%99102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
42.3
36.9
38
76%
8
3
0
1
0
5
0
8
9-9
100%
7-13
7-14
54%
51%
5-8
63%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
38.5
35.7
29
57%
2
10
1
2
0
2
1
1
7-10
70%
11-21
7-16
52%
46%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
31.9
29.1
4
50%
11
0
1
0
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
23.1
27.3
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
19.9
23.3
6
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
33.4
31.1
13
67%
5
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
5-5
3-6
100%
53%
0-3
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
17.7
12.2
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
16.8
17.6
2
100%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
9.2
11.4
3
38%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
7.3
11.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
0.8
0
0-0
47%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
39.2
37.5
33
70%
9
2
2
1
1
3
5
4
5-8
63%
14-20
7-12
70%
57%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
37.0
31.0
11
75%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
33.4
26.1
16
51%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
3-8
38%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
32.3
29.9
15
50%
6
9
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
31.4
33.4
15
63%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
3-7
43%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
21.6
21.8
2
17%
2
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
15.7
17.8
4
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
15.2
20.4
4
23%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-8
3-7
13%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
10.7
3.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
3.5
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
5.7
0
1-1
49%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
4.1
0
0-1
41%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.