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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets26%9094
13Celtics74%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
34.9
32.4
28
55%
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
8-10
80%
10-21
8-16
48%
47%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
32.0
35.6
12
54%
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
4-6
5-11
67%
46%
0-3
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
29.6
33.3
11
94%
3
2
1
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
4-9
75%
44%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
25.1
36.4
6
52%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
2-4
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
15.1
19.1
3
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
37%
1-5
20%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
25.5
9.8
11
51%
3
1
2
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
1-3
63%
43%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
21.4
26.4
11
63%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
17.0
15.7
2
25%
8
1
1
0
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
15.3
13.6
0
0%
9
0
2
0
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
14.2
5.4
7
58%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
6.3
12.0
3
61%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
3.6
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
31.8
34.2
27
86%
4
8
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
51%
3-4
75%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
31.6
31.6
14
41%
2
13
5
2
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
7-16
5-9
44%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
26.6
30.7
20
77%
10
3
1
1
0
2
0
10
0-0
-
10-13
6-11
77%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
24.6
30.8
8
67%
3
0
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
5-10
67%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
23.2
18.3
11
56%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
1-4
25%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
27.7
22.2
14
77%
7
1
0
1
0
3
3
4
6-7
86%
4-6
3-6
67%
57%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.8
26.1
12.2
4
20%
0
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
0-5
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
15.6
2.2
3
39%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
13.1
16.1
2
33%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
12.9
3.4
0
0%
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.0
3.6
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.1
3.2
3.9
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
2.0
0
0-0
51%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.6
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.