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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks40%9394
18Hawks60%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.4
43.0
31.5
34
61%
3
9
2
1
0
2
1
2
9-11
82%
5-15
4-9
33%
42%
5-8
63%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
42.3
34.3
2
10%
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
0-6
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
37.8
26.2
26
52%
10
1
2
1
0
2
2
8
9-9
100%
7-19
4-10
37%
45%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
24.9
30.9
8
50%
10
1
2
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
4-6
4-10
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
24.3
18.2
5
43%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
28.7
18.7
10
63%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
50%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
23.4
13.3
7
45%
5
0
4
0
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
9.9
8.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
5.7
13.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
28.9
1
3-6
48%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
10.4
0
1-3
42%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.0
3.1
0
0-0
44%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
34.8
38.5
24
57%
19
4
0
2
3
5
4
15
4-5
80%
10-18
7-15
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
31.9
32.7
11
43%
3
2
1
2
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
26.7
33.1
10
56%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
24.8
14.6
7
44%
3
3
1
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
23.3
34.8
8
58%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
26.0
8.2
9
50%
11
5
0
0
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
23.2
2.1
8
46%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
42%
0-4
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
17.6
8.0
11
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
15.9
8.1
9
113%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
3-4
75%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
15.8
6.4
2
50%
3
1
2
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
21.0
1
3-5
49%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
3.2
0
0-0
42%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
2.2
0
0-0
58%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.