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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Bulls79%103112
26Cavaliers21%9291
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
33
38
24
6
4
1
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
4-4
100%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
28
35
19
1
9
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
8-12
7-14
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.0
26
34
6
6
2
0
1
0
2
4
2
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
25
26
13
11
2
1
1
0
1
4
7
3-4
75%
5-12
6-11
42%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.0
20
17
10
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
23
23
13
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
51%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
22
12
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
20
21
6
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
18
17
5
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
15
18
9
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
4
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-1
100%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.7
30
35
22
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
5-5
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
45%
1-6
17%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
30
20
16
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-6
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
23
21
8
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.7
18
19
5
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
14
13
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
30
29
8
1
7
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
37%
2-4
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.0
28
26
7
11
1
1
1
0
0
5
6
3-5
60%
2-7
4-9
29%
44%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
25
27
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.4
18
1
9
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-6
0-0
50%
38%
1-2
50%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.1
11
8
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
7
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.2
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.9
31
1
5-10
45%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.