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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors26%9183
976ers74%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
40.9
34.7
24
53%
15
3
2
1
0
0
4
11
8-8
100%
8-19
7-14
42%
50%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
38.0
32.8
20
45%
3
7
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
10-19
6-13
53%
46%
0-3
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
28.7
24.7
0
0%
6
1
0
1
2
1
1
5
0-2
0%
0-0
2-5
-
38%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
24.3
24.1
10
63%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
11.6
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
32.5
28.4
7
35%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-6
17%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
21.2
16.4
9
41%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
1-3
33%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
18.7
24.3
6
50%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
18.7
19.4
5
42%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-1
100%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.4
2.8
4.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
2.5
7.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
7.1
0
1-2
48%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.0
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.7
40.5
29.5
13
72%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
38.8
34.9
12
47%
11
6
1
2
0
1
0
11
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
33.1
25.8
14
48%
14
2
2
1
2
0
5
9
4-6
67%
5-12
5-9
42%
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
21.3
30.4
7
44%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
20.2
18.3
10
71%
7
1
0
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
27.5
29.0
16
54%
7
2
0
1
0
1
4
3
4-4
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
53%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
27.2
26.6
25
75%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
46%
3-6
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
16.5
19.5
4
33%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.4
14.8
17.8
4
29%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.1
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.3
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
1.2
0
0-0
52%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.