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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks70%9492
26Hornets30%8797
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
35.5
23.5
19
50%
9
2
1
1
0
6
3
6
0-0
-
2-11
4-9
18%
50%
5-8
63%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
31.0
27.1
25
72%
2
3
4
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
9-13
4-7
69%
49%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
30.4
30.8
11
50%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.9
28.3
27.1
3
50%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
27.5
25.9
4
33%
7
1
0
0
2
0
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
26.8
25.9
14
60%
4
4
1
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
2-7
29%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
23.4
31.7
2
11%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
0-5
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
16.8
4.7
5
51%
5
3
1
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
14.3
14.7
9
101%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
5.9
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
0.2
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
12.8
1
1-3
48%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
8.8
0
1-3
42%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
39.6
28.5
15
55%
5
6
0
1
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
44%
1-5
20%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
38.6
30.2
20
52%
13
3
0
0
0
1
3
10
2-3
67%
9-18
6-14
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
37.1
31.5
14
51%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
25.1
26.1
10
71%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
25.0
16.0
6
25%
8
3
1
1
0
0
6
2
0-0
-
3-11
1-3
27%
42%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
24.4
11.2
19
74%
4
2
2
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
7-11
1-3
64%
42%
1-1
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
23.8
19.7
11
56%
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
42%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
19.3
23.8
2
17%
6
7
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
7.1
10.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
33.3
1
4-8
45%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
8.9
0
1-2
53%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
7.3
0
1-3
49%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.3
0
1-2
46%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.