Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Nuggets	43%	101	117	127.2	92	91.1
	16	Rockets	57%	103	105	110.5	95	96.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	38.5	22	52%	7	15	2	0	1	3	1	6	9-12	75%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	31.8	15	44%	3	2	2	0	0	4	2	1	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	2-6	33%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	31.1	17	57%	3	3	0	0	2	4	2	1	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	30.4	16	57%	11	1	2	2	0	2	6	5	2-5	40%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	17.9	5	63%	8	0	1	0	0	3	4	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	31.3	16	47%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	6-6	100%	5-13	38%	0-2	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	26.5	13	46%	7	1	0	0	1	4	0	7	1-4	25%	3-9	33%	2-4	50%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	21.2	10	100%	7	1	1	2	1	4	4	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	10.4	3	38%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	0.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez #5 · · 6'6" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	51%	49	27	9	4	6	0	19	30	23-35	66%	35-75	47%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	38.5	22	52%	7	15	2	0	1	3	1	6	9-12	75%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	31.8	15	44%	3	2	2	0	0	4	2	1	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	2-6	33%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	31.1	17	57%	3	3	0	0	2	4	2	1	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	30.4	16	57%	11	1	2	2	0	2	6	5	2-5	40%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	17.9	5	63%	8	0	1	0	0	3	4	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	31.3	16	47%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	6-6	100%	5-13	38%	0-2	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	26.5	13	46%	7	1	0	0	1	4	0	7	1-4	25%	3-9	33%	2-4	50%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	21.2	10	100%	7	1	1	2	1	4	4	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	10.4	3	38%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	0.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez #5 · · 6'6" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	51%	49	27	9	4	6	0	19	30	23-35	66%	35-75	47%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 29	42.0	35	92%	3	4	0	1	4	4	1	2	9-10	90%	4-6	67%	6-9	67%
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 32	31.2	13	54%	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 26	29.3	17	61%	7	5	0	0	2	5	3	4	6-6	100%	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 32	25.6	8	50%	5	2	0	2	2	3	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 23	22.8	10	50%	1	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	0-3	0%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%

Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 26	30.6	9	41%	2	0	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 23	28.5	6	50%	10	0	0	4	2	3	3	7	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 26	25.6	6	43%	3	5	0	0	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Chase Budinger F · 6'7" 209 · 24	4.3	1	17%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Terrence Williams G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonny Flynn G · 6'0" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Morris Sr. F · 6'9" 235 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hill #27 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hasheem Thabeet #32 · C · 7'3" 263 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	35	18	1	9	14	0	9	26	23-29	79%	26-47	55%	10-29	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.02 50.9%

HOU

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

24

43

56%

HOU

15

23

65%

Midrange

DEN

11

32

34%

HOU

11

24

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

HOU

10

15.0

29

34%

52%

Free Throws

DEN

23

35

66%

HOU

23

29

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	22	52%	11.0 / 21
A. Afflalo	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. Faried	16	57%	8.0 / 14
A. Miller	16	47%	8.0 / 17
C. Brewer	15	44%	7.5 / 17
A. Harrington	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. Koufos	10	100%	5.0 / 5
T. Mozgov	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Hamilton	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Stone	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Martin	35	92%	17.5 / 19
K. Lowry	17	61%	8.5 / 14
L. Scola	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Parsons	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Lee	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Dalembert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
P. Patterson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Dragic	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. Budinger	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 14 105.3	DEN 127.2 +16.6 HOU 110.5
Pace	2 94.1 11 92.0	DEN 91.1 HOU 96.8 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 19 15.6	DEN 15.8 HOU 14.9 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 11 49.2%	DEN 48.5% HOU 53.9% +5.4%
TO %	20 15.7% 12 14.8%	DEN 5.1% −8.5% HOU 13.6%
ORB %	13 27.7% 16 27.5%	DEN 42.2% +19.1% HOU 23.1%
FTrt	2 32.6 28 23.5	DEN 36.1 HOU 38.2 +2.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 20 56.4%	DEN 62.8% +12.8% HOU 50.0%
STL %	15 8.6% 19 8.1%	DEN 9.8% +8.7% HOU 1.1%
BLK %	16 8.1% 21 7.4%	DEN 8.5% HOU 12.0% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 14 51.4%	DEN 50.9% HOU 56.5% +5.6%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 14 57.8%	DEN 55.8% HOU 65.2% +9.4%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 11 39.6%	DEN 34.4% HOU 45.8% +11.4%
3P %	24 33.2% 9 35.9%	DEN 36.4% +1.9% HOU 34.5%
FT %	24 73.6% 4 78.2%	DEN 65.7% HOU 79.3% +13.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 23 33.9%	DEN 44.3% +14.1% HOU 30.3%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 16 42.1%	DEN 33.0% HOU 31.6% −1.4%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 13 24.0%	DEN 22.7% HOU 38.2% +15.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	HOU
Possessions	92	95
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.6
Points	117	105
Rebounds	49	35
Assists	27	18
Steals	9	1
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (8)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	26 (6)
Field Goals	43-97	36-76
At-the-Rim FG	24-43	15-23
Midrange FG	11-32	11-24
2-Point FG	35-75	26-47
3-Point FG	8-22	10-29
Free Throws	23-35	23-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg