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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder63%9690
18Hawks37%9297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
42.9
38.6
35
57%
8
2
3
1
1
4
1
7
14-17
82%
6-13
7-14
46%
51%
3-10
30%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
37.7
36.3
25
57%
0
4
0
2
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
7-13
8-16
54%
46%
3-8
38%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
29.6
25.3
10
74%
6
0
1
0
3
3
1
5
2-4
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
15.5
29.7
2
33%
5
1
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
13.9
21.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
27.3
31.7
10
56%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
25.3
17.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
16.1
14.3
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
14.5
3.7
6
44%
7
0
0
0
3
2
5
2
4-4
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
10.3
10.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
7.0
9.5
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
6.7
0
0-1
51%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
41.1
29.0
10
45%
14
2
1
1
0
3
9
5
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.2
37.0
36.4
30
54%
12
4
1
1
1
5
1
11
9-13
69%
9-21
7-15
43%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
33.3
31.8
16
58%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
6-10
4-9
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
29.7
29.7
9
49%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
5-5
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
26.0
19.8
10
71%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
44%
2-2
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
20.8
11.3
8
40%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
19.9
12.4
0
0%
2
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
16.8
12.9
8
57%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
2-4
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
13.6
12.5
6
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
2-3
67%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
1.9
17.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
12.3
0
1-3
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
3.4
0
0-0
41%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
1.4
0
0-0
56%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.