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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks25%9398
7Magic75%103114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.4
32.4
35.9
27
61%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
8-12
67%
8-12
4-11
67%
42%
1-5
20%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
31.1
28.3
18
63%
7
3
1
1
1
4
3
4
3-3
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
29.8
30.7
7
40%
5
1
3
1
0
4
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
5-12
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
28.6
37.1
10
51%
2
4
0
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
41%
2-5
40%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
21.1
10.2
4
50%
2
1
2
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
29.6
18.4
8
57%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
2-2
100%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
24.3
18.1
8
56%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-5
40%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
22.3
22.6
4
25%
2
4
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
11.6
7.4
8
74%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
43%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.0
6.7
2.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
2.6
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
20.8
1
3-6
46%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
39.3
37.7
28
60%
14
0
4
1
1
5
4
10
6-14
43%
11-17
8-13
65%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
34.2
28.7
18
60%
5
3
2
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
30.1
33.0
16
71%
5
9
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
27.4
31.9
16
71%
6
1
5
1
1
1
1
5
5-5
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
24.5
30.3
8
58%
2
10
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
28.8
21.7
14
59%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
2-4
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
22.0
16.7
12
100%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
4-5
80%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
18.6
17.8
2
18%
9
1
0
1
1
3
3
6
0-1
0%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
6.7
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
5.6
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
1.5
3.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
1.5
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
7.6
0
1-1
48%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.