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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons25%9183
12Grizzlies75%100100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
41.4
31.5
15
40%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
4-6
67%
4-12
3-7
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
38.5
30.6
13
60%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
6-10
5-10
60%
45%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
37.9
32.0
20
39%
4
4
2
1
1
4
3
1
7-9
78%
5-20
4-10
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
35.5
31.3
14
48%
11
1
0
1
1
4
6
5
6-6
100%
4-12
7-13
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
22.0
25.9
10
73%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.0
22.4
18.5
4
33%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
15.2
23.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.1
13.4
15.8
5
66%
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
10.1
12.5
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
1.2
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
1.2
3.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
35%
0-0
-
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.4
1.2
2.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
6.1
0
1-2
44%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
38.1
37.3
10
45%
0
12
5
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
35.0
39.6
17
59%
9
2
1
1
2
1
0
9
3-3
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
54%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
31.1
38.5
15
58%
5
2
0
2
1
5
2
3
2-2
100%
5-11
7-14
45%
50%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.1
30.4
26.1
11
56%
2
2
0
2
2
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
20.2
20.4
16
63%
7
0
0
0
0
3
2
5
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
49%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
28.8
30.5
17
73%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
4-5
80%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
27.6
13.1
12
95%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
23.0
21.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.8
5.9
2.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.9
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.0
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.