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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers63%94102
26Hornets37%8984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
29.7
29.5
20
65%
3
1
0
1
2
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-7
4-8
43%
45%
4-7
57%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
29.0
28.0
14
55%
13
3
0
1
2
0
3
10
2-4
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.2
27.7
23.1
4
30%
10
2
1
0
2
1
6
4
4-6
67%
0-4
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
27.0
29.3
13
59%
4
4
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
23.8
26.4
11
47%
1
3
5
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
1-4
25%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.4
21.0
14.3
3
30%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.8
20.9
18.8
10
79%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.3
17.2
17.4
7
41%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.2
16.1
11.8
11
68%
10
1
0
0
2
3
1
9
5-7
71%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
15.6
18.0
7
74%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.5
6.0
8.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.8
6.0
4.9
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.1
10.6
0
1-1
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
38.0
33.5
15
42%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
2-6
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
35.1
32.8
18
66%
4
3
0
1
1
3
0
4
5-6
83%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
32.6
25.4
10
50%
6
4
1
1
2
3
3
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
25.8
33.1
10
33%
6
3
0
1
2
4
2
4
0-0
-
5-15
7-15
33%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
21.7
19.7
0
0%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
26.3
16.8
9
39%
6
2
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-1
0%
3-9
2-5
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
24.0
21.0
12
87%
9
2
0
0
0
1
4
5
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
43%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
22.9
21.9
2
20%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
13.6
8.8
8
72%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
6-8
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
21.8
1
2-5
45%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
9.1
0
1-3
53%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.4
0
1-2
46%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
6.6
0
1-2
49%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.